Gate Özel Varlık Yönetimi

Gate’s latest report shows a volatile 2025 crypto market as BTC and ETH weaken, while its wealth quant strategies achieve 100% win rates; outlook highlights regulation and rising institutional participation.

The crypto market ended 2025 with negative returns, as BTC and ETH failed to hold their key year-start levels of $90,000 and $3,000, respectively. Within Gate’s private wealth quant funds, Stellar Core Smart-Invest (USDT) led with an 11.0% annualized return and a Sharpe ratio of 4.3, demonstrating strong risk-adjusted performance. Additionally, Quantum Leap (USDT), Interstellar Hedge (USDT), and Gravity Hedge (USDT) all achieved a 100% win rate for the year. The USDT strategy returned 1.6% in December and achieved a 7.5% full-year return, with overall drawdowns nearly at zero. In the short term, the probability of a Fed rate cut in January is low, and divergence over the pace of future cuts may further widen. In the medium to long term, deeper regulatory coordination and progress in crypto legislation could become a key institutional turning point for crypto assets entering the mainstream financial system.

November saw Bitcoin decline by 17.54%, marking the largest monthly drop of the year. Bitcoin ETFs experienced the second-largest single-month outflow since their launch in 2024. In November, Gate’s quantitative fund recorded a 1.9% return for the USDT strategy; the top 30% portfolio achieved an annualized return of 4.1%, outperforming Bitcoin. The “Arbitrage Pioneer – USDT” strategy stood out with a monthly annualized return of 5.5%, demonstrating robust defensive characteristics. Overall fund drawdowns remained low, with the USDT strategy experiencing a maximum drawdown of just 0.02%. Looking ahead to December, expectations for interest rate cuts, next year’s rate trajectory, potential rate hikes by the Bank of Japan, and speculation over a Fed leadership change are likely to drive short-term crypto volatility.

In October, Bitcoin recorded its first monthly loss since 2018, with the overall cryptocurrency market significantly underperforming traditional risk assets. Despite this weakness, the top 30% of quantitative fund portfolios achieved an impressive annualized return of 35.4%, substantially outperforming Bitcoin. The Hedging Investment-USDT strategy stood out, delivering a positive 5% return even as Bitcoin declined more than 5.5% during the month. Overall drawdowns across quantitative funds remained minimal, with the USDT strategy’s maximum drawdown at just -0.01%. Looking ahead to November, macro liquidity conditions and policy expectations are expected to continue driving market direction, while the crypto market may remain in a “high-volatility, low-trend” consolidation phase.